2016 Oscars Predictions: Early Projected Winners in Every Major Category With Trailers


Oscar season is upon us. The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences will announce the nominees for all categories on Jan. 14 and the 88th annual Academy Awards will air Feb. 28 on ABC. In the meantime, publications and self-proclaimed award show experts are spewing predictions.


The Oscar-crazed team at award show prediction site GoldDerby predicts the critically acclaimed MadMax: Fury Road, starring Charlize Theron and Tom Hardy, will receive the most nominations and wins, and Variety's list seems to concur. GoldDerby also predicts that Spotlight, starring Rachel McAdams, Mark Ruffalo, Michael Keaton and John Slattery, will cinch best picture and veteran actor Leonardo DiCaprio will take home his first Oscar for his starring role in the Revenant.

Here's the list of Oscar nomination predictions for several major categories, curated from Variety and GoldDerby. (GoldDerby's pick for the winner for each category is denoted with an asterisk.)

Best picture

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies


Inside Out

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant



Straight Outta Compton

Best director

Steven Spielberg (Bridge of Spies)

George Miller (Mad Max: Fury Road)

Ridley Scott (The Martian)* 

Alejandro G. Inarritu (The Revenant)

Tom McCarthy (Spotlight)

Best actor

Bryan Cranston (Trumbo)

Leonardo DiCaprio (The Revenant)*

Johnny Depp (Black Mass)

Michael Fassbender (Steve Jobs)

Eddie Redmayne (The Danish Girl)

Best actress

Cate Blanchett (Carol)

Brie Larson (Room)*

Jennifer Lawrence (Joy)

Charlotte Rampling (45 Years)

Saoirse Ronan (Brooklyn)

Best supporting actor

Christian Bale (the Big Short)

Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation)

Michael Keaton (Spotlight)

Mark Rylance (Bridge of Spies) — GoldDerby predicts Rylance will win. 

Sylvester Stallone (Creed)

Best supporting actress

Jennifer Jason Leigh (the Hateful Eight)

Rachel McAdams (Spotlight)

Rooney Mara (Carol) — GoldDerby predicts Mara will win. 

Alicia Vikander (the Danish Girl)

Kate Winslet (Steve Jobs)

Jane Fonda (Youth)

Best adapted screenplay

the Big Short (Adam McKay, Charles Randolph)

Carol (Phyllis Nagy)

the Martian (Drew Goddard)

Room (Emma Donoghue)

Steve Jobs (Aaron Sorkin) — GoldDerby predicts Steve Jobs will win. 

Best original screenplay

Bridge of Spies (Matt Charman, Ethan Coen, Joel Coen)

the Hateful Eight (Quentin Tarantino)

Inside Out (Josh Cooley, Pete Doctor, Meg LeFauve)

Spotlight (Tom McCarthy, Josh Singer) — GoldDerby predicts Spotlight will win. 

Joy (Annie Mumolo, David O. Russell)

Best original song

"So Long" (Concussion)

"Love Me Like You Do" (Fifty Shades of Grey)

"See You Again" (Furious 7) — GoldDerby predicts "See You Again" will win. 

"Til' It Happens To You" (the Hunting Ground)

"Simple Song #3" (Youth)

"Writings on the Wall" (Spectre)

Best original score

Bridge of Spies (Thomas Newman)

the Danish Girl (Alexandre Desplat)

the Hateful Eight (Ennio Morricone)

Spotlight (Howard Shore)

Star Wars: the Force Awakens (John Williams) — GoldDerby predicts Star Wars will win.

Best animated feature film

Anomalisa (Duke Johnson, Charlie Kaufman, Rosa Tran)

Inside Out (Pete Doctor, Jonas Rivera) — GoldDerby predicts Inside Out will win.

Kahlil Gibran's The Prophet (Roger Allers, Salma Hayek)

the Good Dinosaur (Peter Sohm)

the Peanuts Movie (Steve Martino, Craig Schulz)

Shaun the Sheep Movie (Mark Burton, Richard Starzak, Paul Kewley, Julia Lockhart)