Trump has not won, no matter what he says

Donald Trump and Joe Biden debate livestream on a laptop with the American flag in the background
Xinhua News Agency/Xinhua News Agency/Getty Images

It's amazing how a mantra can fail you. Generally, if you need to really, truly believe something, you're advised to repeat it to yourself over and over until you internalize it. And so, pundits and Democratic politicians spent days and weeks and months repeatedly warning Americans that there would almost certainly be no winner of the presidential election on Nov. 3, the long-awaited Election Day in the longest year ever, 2020. No matter how badly we wanted the resolution to come, it simply would not. Such is the nature of a pandemic-year election.

Unfortunately, knowing something to be true doesn't always ease the anxiety it brings. And waking up on Nov. 4 to the reality that both President Trump and Joe Biden could still win the White House is unsettling. It begins to feel like an outright emergency when you factor in Trump's declaration, made around 2:30 a.m. Wednesday, that he'd in fact won the election — alongside, somehow, the claim that the election is being stolen away from him.

Neither of those statements are true. Trump has not won the election now, nearly seven hours later, and he was not the victor then. There are still hundreds of thousands of votes left to be counted, with outstanding gaps in key battleground states like Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and North Carolina. The glut of early voting, both in person and by mail, to avoid coronavirus-spreading crowds meant the count would be slower this year, nevermind the fact that virtually no state certifies its results on Election Day even in normal times. Wanting a result immediately doesn't make one appear. Such is the nature of a pandemic-year election.

Trump, who's never seemed particularly aware that this is a pandemic year to begin with, maliciously disregarded these truisms. "We will win this. And as far as I’m concerned, we already have," he said, alleging falsely that the routine counting of valid ballots constitutes "major fraud in our nation." He vowed to stop those votes from being counted in most crucial battleground states that have yet to be called by the major networks — except for Arizona, a state which several outlets agree Biden has won, and which, golly-gee, Trump wants to keep tallying every ballot just in case.

Early votes, cast either in person or by mail, are thought to lean heavily Democratic, and the major networks were not always clear what tallies they were referring to as the results started coming in Tuesday night. It led to a lot of uncertainty and confusion, as reputable outlets were showing wildly different projections of the same state. It's hard enough to count millions of votes in just a few hours; now triple the sources of those votes, between early votes cast in-person, mail-in ballots, and day-of votes and ballot drops, and things get infinitely more complicated. Such is the nature of a pandemic-year election.

"We're going to the Supreme Court," Trump vowed, while CNN noted in a perfect chyron that it's "unclear why." Biden, for his part, spoke about two hours before Trump did and urged "patience" in his Election Day remarks. But he did project confidence, too. "We believe we're on track to win this election," he said, but he repeated that the result won't be known until "every ballot is counted."

Ballots are still being counted all the while. It looks like the results are tilting in Biden's favor, but it's absolutely not certain. No one can truthfully declare victory yet — which, by the way, is in no small part due to efforts by the president's own party to suppress votes and make the night a lot more difficult.

In the meantime, we're left with an alternate truth: It's outright dangerous to have a leader who refuses to acknowledge a sound democratic process. Some might call it Trump's final slide into full-on authoritarianism. Others have been warning about this for a long, long, long time. You might even call it a mantra.